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监管风险感知与小企业贷款

Regulatory Risk Perception and Small Business Lending
Management Science · 2026 · Joseph Kalmenovitz、Siddharth Vij

中文摘要

我们揭示了小企业信贷中一个显著的摩擦:小企业管理局(SBA)员工的风险感知。利用关于 SBA 员工跨办公室调动的新颖数据,我们发现,其此前所在地区 SBA 贷款的当期违约越多,其当前所在地区的 SBA 贷款和就业创造就越少。该效应独立于当地经济状况以及非本地违约所包含的信息内容,这表明 SBA 员工非理性地更新了其风险评估。我们的结果首次记录到,监管者对经济状况的误判会影响小企业获得融资的能力。本文由金融领域编辑 Camelia Kuhnen 接受。补充材料:在线附录与数据文件见 https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.03040 。

Abstract

We uncover a significant friction in small business lending: perception of risk by Small Business Administration (SBA) employees. Using novel data on SBA employees transferring across offices, we find that more current defaults on SBA loans in their previous location reduce SBA loans and job creation in their current location. The effect is independent of local economic conditions and the informational content of the nonlocal defaults, suggesting that SBA employees update their risk assessment irrationally. Our results are the first to document that regulators’ misperception of economic conditions affects the ability of small businesses to obtain access to finance. This paper was accepted by Camelia Kuhnen, finance. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.03040 .
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