大学招生竞争中的帕累托改进
Pareto Improvements in the Contest for College Admissions
Review of Economic Studies · 2025 · [{"name": "Kala Krishna", "affiliation": ["Pennsylvania State University"]}, {"name": "Sergey Lychagin", "affiliation": ["Wunschbaby Institut für Kinderwunsch"]}, {"name": "Wojciech Olszewski", "affiliation": ["Northwestern University", "University of Northwestern"]}, {"name": "Ron Siegel", "affiliation": ["Pennsylvania State University"]}, {"name": "Chloe Tergiman", "affiliation": ["Pennsylvania State University"]}]
中文摘要
摘要 许多国家将大学录取建立在中央统一管理的考试基础上。学生投入大量资源以提高其考试表现,而与这些活动相关的高昂成本正引发日益增长的担忧。我们考虑通过引入绩效披露政策来修改该考试制度,此类政策将绩效排名区间进行合并。合并会影响学生与大学之间的均衡配置,使部分学生受损、另一些学生受益,但也会影响学生的努力程度。我们研究此类政策如何在帕累托意义上改善学生福利,考察合并政策的帕累托前沿,并识别对大学席位分布具有稳健性的改进方案。我们利用土耳其大学录取数据进行实证估计,以说明我们研究结果的潜在适用性。基于估计参数,我们发现在一个竞赛模型中,将很大一部分表现最差的学生进行合并的政策会带来帕累托改进。基于估计参数的实验室实验总体上支持我们的理论预测。
Abstract
Abstract Many countries base college admissions on a centrally administered test. Students invest a great deal of resources to improve their performance on the test, and there is growing concern about the high costs associated with these activities. We consider modifying the test by introducing performance-disclosure policies that pool intervals of performance rankings. Pooling affects the equilibrium allocation of students to colleges, which hurts some students and benefits others, but also affects students’ effort. We investigate how such policies can improve students’ welfare in a Pareto sense, study the Pareto frontier of pooling policies, and identify improvements that are robust to the distribution of college seats. We illustrate the potential applicability of our results with an empirical estimation that uses data on college admissions in Turkey. We find that a policy that pools a large fraction of the lowest-performing students leads to a Pareto improvement in a contest based on the estimated parameters. A laboratory experiment based on the estimated parameters generally supports our theoretical predictions.
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