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进入壁垒与中国区域经济增长

Barriers to Entry and Regional Economic Growth in China
Review of Economic Studies · 2025 · Loren Brandt、Gueorgui Kambourov、Kjetil Storesletten

中文摘要

中国各地区制造业劳动生产率存在显著差异。然而我们发现,1995年以后,非国有企业的生产率、工资和创业率均经历了快速的区域无条件收敛。为分析这些现象,我们构建了一个纳入地区特定资本楔子、产出楔子和进入壁垒的Hopenhayn模型。利用中国工业普查数据,我们估计了这些楔子,并考察其在解释地级市之间绩效与增长差异方面的作用。进入壁垒解释了其中的大部分差异。我们进一步考察了这些进入壁垒的实证协变量,发现壁垒变化与国有部门规模变化之间存在因果关系:国有部门规模缩小会导致进入壁垒降低。

Abstract

Abstract Labour productivity in manufacturing differs starkly across regions in China. We document that productivity, wages, and start-up rates of non-state firms have nevertheless experienced rapid unconditional regional convergence after 1995. To analyse these patterns, we construct a Hopenhayn model that incorporates location-specific capital wedges, output wedges, and entry barriers. Using Chinese Industry Census data, we estimate these wedges and examine their role in explaining differences in performance and growth across prefectures. Entry barriers explain most of the differences. We investigate the empirical covariates of these entry barriers and find that changes in barriers are causally related to changes in the size of the state sector: a smaller state sector leads to lower entry barriers.
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