← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

拥堵信息与效率:一项实验

Congestion Information and Efficiency: An Experiment
Management Science · 2026 · Charles N. Noussair、Liang Qiao

中文摘要

如今,用户通常能够获取交通、餐饮和零售情境下的历史数据。这种信息的可获得性可被视为减少拥堵的一种手段。然而,对这一观点的科学支持较为薄弱。我们通过实验室实验研究,提供中等水平的信息是否可能减少拥堵。我们还研究了提供更多信息的效果如何随时间变化。我们表明,在短期内向所有用户提供信息会产生反效果。从长期看,用户行为会作出调整,使得向部分或全部个体提供信息比不提供任何信息带来更有效率的结果。小样本模型捕捉到了数据中的若干模式,特别是路线之间的切换行为。数据显示,向所有各方提供拥堵信息在初期会降低效率,但从长期看是有益的。

Abstract

Users are now typically able to access historical data in traffic, restaurant, and retailing contexts. This availability of information can be viewed as a means to reduce congestion. However, scientific support for this notion is weak. We investigate, using a laboratory experiment, whether an intermediate level of information provision might reduce congestion. We also study how the effect of making more information available changes over time. We show that providing all users with information is counterproductive in the short run. In the long run, users’ behavior adjusts so that providing some or all individuals with information leads to more efficient outcomes than when no information is made available. Small Sample models capture a number of the patterns in the data, in particular the switching behavior between routes. The data show that making congestion information available to all parties reduces efficiency early on but is beneficial in the long run.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →