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“毒友”:社会网络在阿片类药物危机中的作用

Friends with drugs: The role of social networks in the opioid epidemic
Journal of Public Economics · 2026 · Kai Maeckle、Stefan Ruenzi

中文摘要

当前的阿片类药物危机是美国有史以来面临的最严重的一场药物危机。我们考察社会关系在其空间蔓延中所起的作用。与阿片类药物暴露程度高的县之间存在较多友谊联结,与过量用药死亡率呈正相关。为应对识别方面的顾虑,我们利用了两项准自然实验,其间使用者以非法阿片类药物替代处方药物。暴露于受这些冲击影响的县的朋友越多,过量用药死亡越多。我们还提供了提示性证据:溢出效应作用于成瘾的不同阶段,同时受供给侧与需求侧条件的影响,并在本地友谊网络更为紧密的县中被削弱。我们的结果表明,社会关系如何助长了阿片类药物危机的蔓延。

Abstract

The current opioid epidemic is the worst drug epidemic the U.S. has ever faced. We examine the role of social connections in its spatial spread. Having many friendship links to counties with high opioid exposure positively correlates with overdose death rates. To address identification concerns, we exploit two quasi-natural experiments that led users to substitute illicit opioids for prescription drugs. Having more friends exposed to counties affected by these shocks leads to more overdose deaths. We also provide suggestive evidence that spillovers affect different stages of addiction, are influenced by both supply- and demand-side conditions, and are attenuated in counties with more cohesive local friendship networks. Our results show how social connections contribute to the spread of the opioid epidemic.
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