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智能功率限额:为极端事件设计短缺机制

Smart power limits: Designing shortage mechanisms for extreme events
Journal of Public Economics · 2026 · Mar Reguant、Mayra Wagner

中文摘要

随着必需资源的短缺日益频繁,仅靠高价格可能无法抑制需求。我们研究居民用电的功率限额,这种机制限制家庭用电量,而非像轮流停电那样将用电量降为零。我们从理论和实证两方面表明,功率限额可以实现相当于大规模停电的节电量,同时影响的家庭更少。该机制通过筛选高用电户发挥作用,由此产生的分配权衡取决于限额是统一设定还是与合同功率成比例。这凸显了智能电表在改善短缺管理的同时保障基本电力服务可及性的潜力。

Abstract

As shortages of essential resources become more frequent, high prices alone may fail to curb demand. We study power limits for residential electricity, which restrict household consumption rather than setting it to zero as in rolling blackouts. We show theoretically and empirically that power limits can deliver electricity savings equivalent to sizable blackouts while affecting fewer households. The mechanism works through selection of high users, creating distributional trade-offs that depend on whether limits are uniform or proportional to contracted power. This highlights the potential of smart meters to improve shortage management while preserving access to essential electricity services.
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