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婚姻税惩罚会导致婚姻申报延迟吗?

Do marriage tax penalties cause delayed marriage reporting?
Journal of Public Economics · 2026 · William Gorman、David Splinter

中文摘要

夫妻以已婚身份而非未婚身份报税时,可能面临更高的税负。这些婚姻惩罚可能促使新婚夫妇在美国纳税申报表中延迟申报其婚姻状况。通过将明尼苏达州的婚姻记录与联邦纳税申报表相匹配,我们发现婚姻惩罚与延迟申报婚姻状况相关。超过 2% 的新婚夫妇错报其婚姻状况。当婚姻惩罚达到 8000 美元时,错报率上升至 14%。错报和大额婚姻惩罚在收入相近的夫妇以及劳动所得税收抵免 (EITC) 申领者中更为普遍。错报夫妇的行为似乎会对激励变化作出反应,当婚姻惩罚变为奖励时,他们往往会纠正其申报身份。

Abstract

Couples can face higher taxes when filing as married rather than unmarried. These marriage penalties may motivate newlyweds to delay reporting their marriage on U.S. tax returns. Linking Minnesota marriage records to federal tax returns, we show that marriage penalties are correlated with delayed marriage reporting. Over 2 % of newlyweds misreport their marital status. Misreporting rates increase to 14 % when marriage penalties reach $8000. Misreporting and large marriage penalties are more prevalent among similar-earning couples and EITC claimants. Misreporting couples’ behavior appears responsive to incentive changes, often correcting their filing status when marriage penalties become bonuses.
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