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童年残疾对家庭的影响:劳动、婚姻、生育与抑郁

Impacts of childhood disability on family: Labor, marriage, fertility, and depression
Journal of Public Economics · 2026 · Kuan-Ming Chen、Ming-Jen Lin、Wei-Lun Lo

中文摘要

童年残疾对家庭成员具有深远的影响。利用来自台湾全民健康保险研究数据库的20年行政记录,我们研究了脑性麻痹(CP)——童年残疾最常见的病因之一。借助CP的先天性质、其无法在宫内被检测出的特征以及出生后的早期诊断,结合丰富的行政数据,我们采用事件研究方法考察了其对父母一系列结果的影响,包括劳动供给、心理健康、婚姻状况和生育。我们的研究结果表明,育有CP患儿使母亲的就业概率降低4.4个百分点,并使离婚概率增加4.3个百分点。母亲患精神障碍的风险亦有所增加。此外,我们观察到受影响家庭的生育率出现显著的长期下降。

Abstract

Childhood disability has profound and far-reaching effects on family members. Using 20 years of administrative records from Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database, we study cerebral palsy (CP), one of the most common causes of childhood disability. Leveraging CP’s congenital nature, its inability to be detected in utero, and its early diagnosis after birth, combined with rich administrative data, we employ an event study approach to examine its impacts on a wide range of parental outcomes, including labor supply, mental health, marital status, and fertility. Our findings show that having a child with CP reduces the mother’s likelihood of employment by 4.4 percentage points (pp), and increases the likelihood of divorce by 4.3 pp. The risk of maternal mental disorders is also increased. Additionally, we observe a significant long-term decline in fertility among affected families.
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