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隐性土地税及其对实体经济的影响

Implicit land taxes and their effect on the real economy
Journal of Public Economics · 2026 · Daniel Murphy、Nathan Seegert

中文摘要

土地税被广泛视为一种高效的公共收入来源,但显性土地税却很少被付诸实施。我们研究一个与之密切相关但大多被忽视的对象:隐性土地税,即在标准财产税制度下,当税收评估对土地与建筑物的相对权重不同于市场估值时所产生的隐性土地税。我们利用美国各县地块层面的评估价值与交易价格数据,通过比较评税员的享乐估值与市场的享乐估值来估计这些隐性土地税。我们发现,隐性土地税在大都市区之间及其内部均存在相当大的差异。隐性土地税较高的县,其人口密度、企业数量、收入以及人口多样性的增长更快。这些模式与理论预测相一致:对土地的征税重于对建筑物的征税,会促进更密集、更具生产效率的开发。

Abstract

Land taxes are widely viewed as an efficient source of public revenue, yet explicit land taxation is rarely implemented. We study a closely related but largely overlooked object: implicit land taxes that arise within standard property tax systems when tax assessments place different relative weights on land and structures than market valuations do. Using parcel-level data on assessed values and transaction prices from U.S. counties, we estimate these implicit land taxes by comparing assessor and market hedonic valuations. We find substantial dispersion in implicit land taxes across and within metropolitan areas. Counties with higher implicit land taxes experience faster growth in population density, business establishments, earnings, and demographic diversity. These patterns are consistent with theoretical predictions that taxing land more heavily than structures encourages denser and more productive development.
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