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污染会导致贫困吗?污染对教育、健康与经济结果的影响

Can Pollution Cause Poverty? The Effects of Pollution on Educational, Health, and Economic Outcomes
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management · 2026 · Claudia Persico

中文摘要

尽管污染十分普遍,但关于污染如何影响儿童长期结果的证据仍然很少。我们利用详细的、带有地理编码的纵向数据,比较了在住所一英里范围内有毒物质排放清单(Toxic Release Inventory)站点开设或关闭之前与之后尚处于胎儿期的兄弟姐妹。我们发现,与未受暴露的兄弟姐妹相比,产前暴露于工业污染的儿童工资更低、成年后更可能生活在贫困之中、受教育年限更少,并且在长期结果综合指数上的得分更低。

Abstract

ABSTRACT Although pollution is widespread, there is little evidence on how it affects children's long‐run outcomes. Using detailed, geocoded longitudinal data, we compare siblings who were gestating before versus after a Toxic Release Inventory site opened or closed within one mile of their home. We find that children who were exposed prenatally to industrial pollution have lower wages, are more likely to live in poverty as adults, have fewer years of completed education, and score lower on a summary index of long‐run outcomes than their unexposed siblings.
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