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企业间贸易:进口、出口与劳动力市场

Firm-to-Firm Trade: Imports, Exports, and the Labor Market
Econometrica · 2026 · Jonathan Eaton、Samuel S. Kortum、Françis Kramarz

中文摘要

海关数据揭示了买卖双方关系的异质性与颗粒度,显示对某一目的地出口的增加如何分解为更多企业在当地销售以及每个出口商拥有更多买家。我们基于这一洞见,构建了一个企业间匹配的量化一般均衡模型,以分离冰山成本与匹配摩擦在引力中的作用。在横截面上,我们发现匹配摩擦在阻碍贸易方面与冰山成本同等重要,且对距离更为敏感。由于国内中间品与进口中间品在执行生产任务时同劳动直接竞争,我们的模型也能拟合法国生产企业间劳动份额的异质性。将该框架应用于2004年欧盟扩盟,冰山成本的下降与匹配摩擦的降低对法国对新成员国出口增长的贡献相当。尽管工人总体上从中受益,但与进口竞争最直接的工人获益较少,在某些新入盟国家甚至出现损失。

Abstract

Customs data reveal the heterogeneity and granularity of relationships among buyers and sellers, showing how more exports to a destination break down into more firms selling there and more buyers per exporter. We develop a quantitative general equilibrium model of firm‐to‐firm matching that builds on this insight to separate the roles of iceberg costs and matching frictions in gravity. In the cross section, we find matching frictions as important as iceberg costs in impeding trade, and more sensitive to distance. Because domestic and imported intermediates compete directly with labor in performing production tasks, our model also fits the heterogeneity of labor shares across French producers. Applying the framework to the 2004 expansion of the European Union, reduced iceberg costs and reduced matching frictions contributed equally to the increase in French exports to the new members. While workers benefited overall, those competing most directly with imports gained less, even losing in some countries entering the EU.
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