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不平等加剧会威胁社会稳定吗?来自实验室的证据

Does increasing inequality threaten social stability? Evidence from the lab
Games and Economic Behavior · 2026 · Fabrizio Adriani、Abigail Margaret Barr、Anna Hochleitner、Silvia Sonderegger

中文摘要

我们通过一个新颖的多期实验室实验,考察不断加剧的不平等对社会不稳定的影响。在每一期中,两组成员被随机匹配进行“性别之战”博弈,其收益要么双方均为零,要么为正但不相等。博弈开始时隐含的收益不平等程度较低,但在某些处理下,该不平等会随时间推移而加剧。在初始不平等较低时,往往会出现不平等惯例——即某一组系统性地处于更有利地位——而不平等的加剧则会导致不稳定。这种不稳定由在不平等惯例中处于劣势的组所引发,并且当劣势组不仅相对地位、而且绝对地位都在恶化时尤为显著。这些发现与一个纳入不利不平等厌恶的简单模型相一致。最后,我们表明历史很重要:对当前不平等的反应取决于过去关于不平等与稳定的经历。

Abstract

We investigate the impact of rising inequality on social instability through a novel multi-period laboratory experiment. In each period, members of two groups are randomly matched to play a battle of the sexes game, in which payoffs are either zero for both or positive but unequal. At the beginning of the game, the implied payoff inequality is low but, under some treatments, it increases over time. While under low initial inequality, unequal conventions – where one group is systematically better off – tend to emerge, increasing inequality causes destabilization. This is initiated by the group disadvantaged by the unequal convention and is particularly pronounced when not only the relative, but also the absolute position of the disadvantaged group is worsening. These findings are consistent with a simple model incorporating disadvantageous inequality aversion. Finally, we show that history matters; responses to current inequality depend on past experiences of inequality and stability.
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