The grass is not always greener: The effects of local labor market information on search and employment
Journal of Development Economics · 2027 · A. Nilesh Fernando、Niharika Singh
中文摘要
我们考察关于本地劳动力市场状况的信息如何塑造印度求职者的求职与就业结果。参与者被随机展示来自一个热门求职门户网站的、关于其偏好城市和职业的招聘岗位信息、求职者信息或二者兼有的信息。受处理的受访者在七个月后更有可能实现就业。这一总体效应随基线就业状况而存在显著差异。在初始已就业者中,干预减少了在门户网站之外的求职并提高了就业,且有提示性证据表明其在基线工作中的留任率更高。相比之下,在初始未就业者中,干预增加了求职活动但并未提高就业。就业增益集中于对劳动力市场状况持较不乐观信念的求职者。这些发现表明,关于劳动力市场基本面的有限信息可能加剧低收入国家的就业流动。• 一项随机对照试验为城市求职者提供实时本地劳动力市场信息。• 信息使七个月后的就业提高12%。• 就业增益集中于初始已就业的求职者。• 已就业劳动者保住了工作;未就业者求职更多但未能找到工作。• 提示性证据显示,预期较低的劳动者获得的增益最大。
Abstract
We examine how information about local labor market conditions shapes search and employment outcomes for Indian job seekers. Participants were randomly shown information about either job postings, job applicants, or both from a popular job portal for their preferred city and occupation. Treated respondents are more likely to be employed seven months later. This overall effect varies considerably by baseline employment status. Among the initially employed , treatments reduce search off the portal and increase employment, with suggestive evidence of higher persistence in baseline jobs. In contrast, among the initially unemployed , treatments increase search activity but do not raise employment. Employment gains are concentrated among job seekers with less optimistic beliefs about labor market conditions. These findings suggest that limited information about labor market fundamentals may contribute to job churn in lower-income countries. • An RCT provides real-time local labor market information to urban job seekers. • Information raises employment by 12% after seven months. • Employment gains are concentrated among initially employed job seekers. • Employed workers retain jobs; unemployed search more but don’t find jobs. • Suggestive evidence shows largest gains for workers with lower expectations.