中文摘要
基于一项具有代表性的调查，我们发现黄背心运动之后，法国民众会在很大程度上拒绝“税收分红”政策，即一种将其收入平均再分配给每位成年人的碳税。他们高估了自己的净货币损失，错误地认为该政策具有累退性，并且不认为该政策在环境方面是有效的。我们表明，改变人们的信念能够大幅提高支持度。尽管在统计上显著，我们的信息干预对信念的影响较小。事实上，反对该税的受访者往往会忽略有关该税的正面信息，这与不信任、不确定性或动机性推理相一致。(JEL D83, H23, H31, Q54, Q58)
Abstract
Using a representative survey, we find that after the Yellow Vests movement, French people would largely reject a tax and dividend policy, i.e., a carbon tax whose revenues are redistributed uniformly to each adult. They overestimate their net monetary losses, wrongly think that the policy is regressive, and do not perceive it as environmentally effective. We show that changing people’s beliefs can substantially increase support. Although significant, the effects of our informational treatments on beliefs are small. Indeed, the respondents that oppose the tax tend to discard positive information about it, which is consistent with distrust, uncertainty, or motivated reasoning. (JEL D83, H23, H31, Q54, Q58)