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地铁与城市空气污染

Subways and Urban Air Pollution
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2022 · Nicolas Gendron-Carrier、Marco Gonzalez-Navarro、Stefano Polloni、Matthew A. Turner

中文摘要

我们研究了地铁系统开通对城市空气污染的影响。平均而言,地铁开通并未改变颗粒物浓度。对于初始污染水平较高的城市,地铁开通使得城市中心周边地区的颗粒物浓度降低了4%。这种效应随着距离市中心的距离增加而减弱,并在我们数据可测量的最长时期(约四年)内持续存在。对于高污染城市,我们估计新的地铁系统每年可提供约10亿美元的外部死亡率效益。对于低污染城市,这种效应无法与零区分。粗略的成本估算表明,由于空气污染降低而导致的死亡率减少可以抵消地铁建设成本的很大一部分。

Abstract

We investigate the effect of subway system openings on urban air pollution. On average, particulate concentrations are unchanged by subway openings. For cities with higher initial pollution levels, subway openings reduce particulates by 4 percent in the area surrounding a city center. The effect decays with distance to city center and persists over the longest time horizon that we can measure with our data, about four years. For highly polluted cities, we estimate that a new subway system provides an external mortality benefit of about $1 billion per year. For less polluted cities, the effect is indistinguishable from zero. Back of the envelope cost estimates suggest that reduced mortality due to lower air pollution offsets a substantial share of the construction costs of subways.
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