American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2022 · Anna Maria Mayda、Giovanni Peri、Walter Steingress
中文摘要
本文利用1990—2016年的县级数据，研究美国移民对共和党得票率的影响。我们的主要贡献在于表明，高技能移民的增加会降低共和党得票份额，而低技能移民的流入则会提高共和党得票份额。这些效应主要源于对现有公民投票行为的间接影响，且与移民的来源国和种族无关。我们发现，移民的政治效应在县际之间存在异质性，并取决于各县的技能水平、公共支出以及非经济特征。(JEL D72, J15, J24, J61, R23)
Abstract
This paper studies the impact of immigration to the United States on the vote share for the Republican Party using county-level data from 1990 to 2016. Our main contribution is to show that an increase in high-skilled immigrants decreases the share of Republican votes, while an inflow of low-skilled immigrants increases it. These effects are mainly due to the indirect impact on existing citizens’ votes, and this is independent of the origin country and race of immigrants. We find that the political effect of immigration is heterogeneous across counties and depends on their skill level, public spending, and noneconomic characteristics. (JEL D72, J15, J24, J61, R23)