American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2022 · Mariella Gonzales、Gianmarco León、Luis Roberto Martinez A.
中文摘要
我们利用一项全国性改革带来的变异,研究了秘鲁选民对选举弃权罚金边际变化的反应。罚金降低对选民投票率有稳健的负向影响,部分是通过选民登记中的不规则变化实现的。然而,代表性基本未受影响,因为流失的选票大多为空白票或无效票。我们还发现,免除强制投票的效应远大于全额降低罚金的效应,这表明非货币激励是强制投票之所以有效的主要驱动因素。(JEL D72, K16, O17)
Abstract
We study voters’ response to marginal changes to the fine for electoral abstention in Peru, leveraging variation from a nationwide reform. A smaller fine has a robust, negative effect on voter turnout, partly through irregular changes in voter registration. However, representation is largely unaffected, as most of the lost votes are blank or invalid. We also show that the effect of an exemption from compulsory voting is substantially larger than that of a full fine reduction, suggesting that nonmonetary incentives are the main drivers behind the effectiveness of compulsory voting. (JEL D72, K16, O17)