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估计总量人力资本外部性

Estimating Aggregate Human Capital Externalities
Review of Economic Dynamics · 2024 · Junjie Guo、Nicolas Roys、Ananth Seshadri

中文摘要

本文估计了人力资本外部性的两种度量。通过将外部性纳入一个包含义务教育法(CSL)的人力资本积累世代交叠模型,我们表明,人力资本外部性可以从一代人的义务教育法对其他世代工资的影响中加以估计。利用由该模型推导出的工具变量策略,我们发现,美国州级平均受教育年限每增加一年,个体工资提高 6%–8%。将这一简约式估计纳入考虑,我们发现典型企业的生产率对经济体平均人力资本的弹性为 0.121。

Abstract

This paper estimates two measures of human capital externalities. By incorporating externalities into an overlapping-generations model of human capital accumulation with Compulsory Schooling Laws (CSL), we show that human capital externalities can be estimated from the effects of CSL for one generation on wages of other generations. Using an instrumental-variable strategy deduced from the model, we find one more year of average schooling at the U.S. state level raises individual wages by 6–8%. Taking this reduced-form estimate into account, we find the elasticity of a typical firm’s productivity with respect to the average human capital of an economy is 0.121.
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