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货币联盟中的衰退期工资弹性

Recessionary wage flexibility in a monetary union
Journal of Monetary Economics · 2026 · Michał L. Kobielarz、Carolin Spallek

中文摘要

本文利用一个两主体新凯恩斯小型开放经济模型,考察工资弹性如何影响货币联盟内经济冲击的传导。研究表明,在存在受金融约束的家庭的情况下,更大的工资弹性可能放大而非缓解冲击。这种放大是通过一种收入渠道产生的;当价格弹性有限时,该渠道会压倒标准的支出转换机制。抵消这一效应所需的价格弹性临界阈值取决于经济的贸易开放度和受约束家庭所占份额,而与工资弹性本身无关。这些发现挑战了工资弹性天然能够增强货币联盟内宏观经济稳定性的传统观点。

Abstract

We examine how wage flexibility affects the transmission of economic shocks within a monetary union using a two-agent New Keynesian small open economy model. We show that, in the presence of financially constrained households, greater wage flexibility can amplify shocks rather than mitigate them. This amplification arises through an income channel that dominates the standard expenditure-switching mechanism when price flexibility is limited. The critical threshold of price flexibility required to offset this effect depends on the economy’s trade openness and the share of constrained households, but not on wage flexibility itself. These findings challenge the conventional view that wage flexibility inherently enhances macroeconomic stability within a monetary union.
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