中文摘要
我们研究娱乐技术对劳动供给的影响。利用社会保障工作履历数据以及美国受监管的电视推广所产生的自然实验,我们估计出一个电视台的开播使工作的概率降低约0.3个百分点,这主要由较高年龄组退休率的上升所驱动。研究结果支持如下假说:电视的兴起促成了世纪中叶退休从一种必需向享受式“黄金岁月”的转变。我们的发现表明,娱乐创新对总体劳动供给趋势的影响,不如既往文献中的模型校准所暗示的那样明显。
Abstract
We study the impact of entertainment technology on labor supply. Using Social Security work histories and a natural experiment arising from the regulated US rollout of television, we estimate that a station launch reduced the probability of working by around 0.3 percentage points, driven mainly by an increase in older-age-group retirement rates. The results support the hypothesis that television's rise contributed to the midcentury transition of retirement from a necessity to "golden years" of enjoyment. Our findings indicate that entertainment innovations have a less pronounced effect on overall labor supply trends than model calibrations in the previous literature suggest.