获得合法堕胎机会对女性生育、婚姻及长期结果的影响
The Effect of Access to Legal Abortion on Fertility, Marriage and Long-term Outcomes for Women
The Economic Journal · 2025 · [{"name": "Libertad González", "affiliation": ["Universitat Pompeu Fabra", "Barcelona School of Economics"]}, {"name": "Sergi Jiménez‐Martín", "affiliation": ["Universitat Pompeu Fabra", "Barcelona School of Economics"]}, {"name": "Natalia Nollenberger", "affiliation": ["IE University"]}, {"name": "Judit Vall Castelló", "affiliation": ["Universitat de Barcelona"]}]
中文摘要
摘要 我们评估了女性获得合法、受补贴堕胎服务的短期和长期影响。我们发现证据表明，1985 年西班牙堕胎合法化导致出生人数立即下降，这一下降在堕胎服务供给较高省份的较年轻女性中更为明显。受影响女性更有可能高中毕业、更不可能早婚、长期内更不可能离婚，且成年后报告的生活满意度更高。我们发现已完成生育率至多出现小幅下降，而未发现其对长期劳动力市场结果存在实质性影响。
Abstract
Abstract We evaluate the short- and long-term effects for women of access to legal, subsidised abortion. We find evidence that the legalisation of abortion in Spain in 1985 led to an immediate decrease in births, more pronounced for younger women in provinces with a higher supply of abortion services. Affected women were more likely to graduate from high school, less likely to marry young, less likely to divorce in the long term and reported higher life satisfaction as adults. We find at most small reductions in completed fertility, while we do not find meaningful effects on labour market outcomes in the long run.