政府分割与经济增长
Government Fragmentation and Economic Growth
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2024 · [{"name": "Traviss Cassidy", "affiliation": ["University of Alabama"]}, {"name": "Tejaswi Velayudhan", "affiliation": ["University of California, Irvine", "University of Michigan"]}]
中文摘要
摘要 我们估计了2000年至2014年间印度尼西亚地方政府碎片化对经济活动的影响，这一时期行政区数量增加了50%。利用行政区分拆时间上的特异性变异，我们发现尽管中央转移支付大幅增加，碎片化仍在短期内降低了行政区GDP。在获得新首府和新政府的“子”行政区中，GDP下降幅度更大。此外，分拆后的行政区将支出集中于行政管理，却未能改善公共服务，也未减少繁文缛节与腐败。由规模经济缺失和官僚能力低下所致的碎片化弊端，超过了其潜在的益处。
Abstract
Abstract We estimate the impact of local government fragmentation on economic activity in Indonesia from 2000 to 2014, when the number of districts increased by 50%. Exploiting idiosyncratic variation in the timing of district splits, we find that fragmentation reduces district GDP in the short term despite large increases in central transfers. The GDP decline is larger in “child” districts that acquire a new capital and government. Furthermore, splitting districts focus spending on administration without improving public services or reducing red tape and corruption. The downsides of fragmentation due to economies of scale and low bureaucratic capacity outweigh potential upsides.