中文摘要
贸易机会区位的变动是否会引起经济活动区位的变动?本文利用十八世纪西班牙帝国解除帝国全境贸易限制这一事件来探讨该问题。我将双重差分方法与动态空间模型相结合来考察这一问题。研究发现,该改革改善了市场一体化并引发了城市增长,但在内部市场较大的地区,其效果较小。研究结果表明,经济活动区位会适应贸易机会区位的变动,但当这些变动之前已发生城市增长时,经济活动区位则表现出持续性。(JEL F14, L92, N73, N76, O18, O19, R12)
Abstract
Do changes in the location of trading opportunities cause changes in the location of economic activity? I explore this question using a lifting of restrictions on trade across the Spanish Empire in the eighteenth century. I combine a difference-in-differences approach with a dynamic spatial model to examine this issue. I find that the reform improved market integration and induced urban growth, but had a smaller effect in locations with larger internal markets. The findings show that the location of economic activity adapts to changes in the location of trading opportunities, but persists when these changes are preceded by urban growth. (JEL F14, L92, N73, N76, O18, O19, R12)