← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

企业异质性、市场势力与宏观经济脆弱性

Firm Heterogeneity, Market Power, and Macroeconomic Fragility
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics · 2026 · Alessandro Ferrari、Francisco Queirós

中文摘要

我们研究企业异质性与市场势力如何影响宏观经济脆弱性,即长期低迷发生的概率。我们提出一个理论,其中企业进入、竞争与要素供给之间的正向互动可能产生多重稳态。当企业高度异质时,即使是微小的暂时性冲击也可能引发企业退出,使经济螺旋式陷入竞争驱动的贫困陷阱。我们校准模型以纳入企业异质性上升的趋势,并表明这些趋势显著提高了缓慢复苏的可能性和持续时间。(JEL D22, E22, E23, E24, E25, E32)

Abstract

We study how firm heterogeneity and market power affect macroeconomic fragility, defined as the probability of long slumps. We propose a theory in which the positive interaction between firm entry, competition and factor supply can give rise to multiple steady states. When firms are highly heterogeneous, even small temporary shocks can trigger firm exit and make the economy spiral into a competition-driven poverty trap. We calibrate our model to incorporate the trends on rising firm heterogeneity, and show that they significantly increase the likelihood and length of slow recoveries. (JEL D22, E22, E23, E24, E25, E32)
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →