← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

大宗商品卡特尔形成的政治经济学:以咖啡为例,1930–1940年

The Political Economy of Commodity Cartel Formation: The Case of Coffee, 1930–1940
The Journal of Economic History · 2025 · Christian Robles-Baez、Luis Fernando Medina、Marcelo Bucheli

中文摘要

我们通过研究20世纪30年代哥伦比亚与巴西为稳定国际咖啡市场而进行的谈判,考察商品卡特尔是如何形成的。我们展示了谈判国内部参与该产业的各行为体在土地所有权和所产咖啡类型上的差异,如何阻碍了早期的卡特尔化协议。只有在以下四个因素同时具备时,卡特尔化才得以实现:储存过剩产量的资金与基础设施能力、谈判各方对产业的深入了解、政府的全力支持,以及第三方执行者的存在。我们将一种创新性的博弈论方法与此前未经发掘的档案史料相结合。

Abstract

We inquire how a commodity cartel is created by studying the negotiations between Colombia and Brazil to stabilize the international coffee market in the 1930s. We show how differences among actors involved in the industry within the negotiating countries in terms of land ownership and type of coffee produced, prevented early cartelization agreements. Cartelization was only achieved when four factors converged: financial and infrastructural capability to store excess production, in-depth knowledge of the industry by the negotiating parties, full government support, and presence of a third-party enforcer. We combine an innovative game-theoretic approach with previously unexplored archival sources.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →