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贸易协会的福利效应:智利三文鱼出口行业的案例

Welfare Effects of Trade Associations: The Case of the Chilean Salmon Export Industry
The RAND Journal of Economics · 2026 · Tom Eisenberg、Manuel Estay、Debi Prasad Mohapatra

中文摘要

本文考察了出口国贸易协会对目的国消费者的福利后果。我们估计了智利三文鱼出口行业的结构模型,将企业的定价与出口决策内生化。结果表明,贸易协会对消费者效用具有正效应,且伴随着更高的边际生产成本,这与更高质量的产品相一致。简约式分析估计贸易协会成员资格相关的价格效应为3%至8%。反事实分析表明,取消贸易协会将使目的国的消费者福利减少17亿美元。

Abstract

ABSTRACT This article examines the welfare consequences of a trade association in an exporting country on consumers in destination countries. We estimate a structural model of the Chilean Salmon exporting industry that endogenizes firms' pricing and export decisions. Our results show that the trade association has a positive effect on consumer utility and involves higher marginal costs of production, consistent with higher quality products. Reduced form analysis estimates price effects associated with trade association membership of 3 to 8 percent. Our counterfactual analysis reveals that eliminating the trade association would reduce consumer welfare by 1.7 billion USD in destination countries.
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