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驱动创新?瑞典交通部门的碳税效应

Driving innovation? Carbon tax effects in the Swedish transport sector
Journal of Public Economics · 2025 · aus dem Moore, Nils、Brehm, Johannes、Gruhl, Henri

中文摘要

碳税能否刺激交通部门的低碳创新?我们利用瑞典的一项环境税改革,该改革对交通燃料同时引入了碳税和增值税。合成控制估计一致发现,该税改导致低碳专利大幅且显著地增加。我们提供了提示性证据表明,碳税驱动了这一效应,而幅度相当的燃料价格变化并未显著影响低碳创新。我们的发现表明,突显的碳价格可能比燃料价格弹性估计所暗示的更有效地促进低碳创新。

Abstract

Does a carbon tax stimulate low-carbon innovation in the transport sector? We exploit an environmental tax reform in Sweden that introduced both a carbon and a value-added tax on transport fuels. Synthetic control estimates consistently find that the tax reform caused large and significant increases in low-carbon patents. We provide suggestive evidence that the carbon tax drives the effect while fuel price changes with comparable magnitude did not significantly affect low-carbon innovation. Our findings suggest that salient carbon prices may foster low-carbon innovation more effectively than fuel price elasticity estimates suggest.
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