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累犯与邻里机构: 来自智利福音派教会兴起的证据

Recidivism and Neighborhood Institutions: Evidence from the Rise of the Evangelical Church in Chile
Journal of Labor Economics · 2024 · [{"name": "Andrés Barrios-Fernández", "affiliation": ["Universidad Autónoma de Madrid", "London School of Economics and Political Science"]}, {"name": "Jorge García Hombrados", "affiliation": ["Universidad Autónoma de Madrid", "London School of Economics and Political Science"]}]

中文摘要

改造已定罪罪犯颇具挑战性;事实上,相当一部分罪犯在获释仅数年后便重返监狱。因此,寻找鼓励犯罪终止(尤其是在年轻人中)的有效方式,已成为降低犯罪率和监禁率的重要政策目标。本文提供因果证据,表明接收出狱年轻个体的社区中的地方机构具有重要影响。具体而言,我们发现福音派教会的开设使财产犯罪者的十二个月再监禁率降低超过10个百分点,这一效应相当于该群体重返监狱概率下降16%。对于更严重的犯罪类型,我们发现效应更小且精确度更低。我们讨论了可能解释这一结果的两类机制:宗教性与社会支持。我们提供证据表明,福音派教会所提供的社会支持是驱动这一发现的重要因素。这表明,非宗教性质的地方机构同样可能在前囚犯改造中发挥重要作用。

Abstract

Rehabilitating convicted criminals is challenging; indeed, an important share of them return to prison only a few years after their release.Thus, finding effective ways of encouraging crime desistance, particularly among young individuals, has become an important policy goal to reduce crime and incarceration rates.This paper provides causal evidence that the local institutions of the neighborhood that receives young individuals after prison matter.Specifically, we show that the opening of an Evangelical church reduces twelve-months re-incarceration rates among property crime offenders by more than 10 percentage points.This effect represents a drop of 16% in the probability of returning to prison for this group of individuals.We find smaller and less precise effects for more severe types of crime.We discuss two classes of mechanisms that could explain our results: religiosity and social support.We provide evidence that the social support provided by evangelical churches is an important driver of our findings.This suggests that non-religious local institutions could also play an important role in the rehabilitation of former inmates.
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