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住房需求、不平等与空间分选

Housing demand, inequality, and spatial sorting
Journal of International Economics · 2025 · Finlay, John、Williams, Trevor C.

中文摘要

近几十年来, 高技能劳动者的收入已与低技能劳动者拉开差距, 反映出生产中技能偏向性的不断增强。这如何改变了技能的空间分布? 我们证明, 非位似住房需求将总体收入不平等与空间分选联系起来。家庭的技能水平决定其收入, 进而决定其住房支出份额、对住房成本的敏感度以及区位偏好。其结果便是按技能的空间分选。此外, 收入的分化导致区位选择的分化。利用消费微观数据, 我们估计出住房是一种必需品: 总支出增加10%会使住房支出份额下降2.5%。因此, 高技能劳动者分选进入物价高昂的城市; 总体技能偏向性的增强通过提高其相对收入, 加剧了这种分选。将我们估计出的偏好嵌入量化空间模型后, 我们发现, 若无总体技能偏向性的上升, 1980年以来空间分选的增长将减少四分之一。

Abstract

Skilled workers’ incomes have pulled away from those of unskilled workers in recent decades, reflecting increasing skill bias in production. How has this changed the spatial distribution of skill? We show nonhomothetic housing demand connects aggregate income inequality to spatial sorting. A household’s skill level determines its income, and therefore its housing expenditure share, sensitivity to housing costs, and location preferences. The result is spatial sorting by skill. Moreover, diverging incomes cause diverging location choices. Using consumption microdata, we estimate that housing is a necessity. Increasing total expenditure by 10% reduces housing expenditure shares by 2.5%. Skilled workers therefore sort into expensive cities, and by raising their relative incomes, increases in aggregate skill bias intensify sorting. Embedding our estimated preferences in a quantitative spatial model, we find that without rising aggregate skill bias, spatial sorting would have grown one quarter less since 1980.
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