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私有化给工人带来的成本有多大?

What Is the Cost of Privatization for Workers?
The Journal of Finance · 2025 · MARTIN OLSSON、Joacim Tå̊g

中文摘要

国有企业私有化已被提上全球各地的议程。利用覆盖二十年的瑞典数据,我们表明,生产率提升与裁员同在职工人承受的经济成本相关联。工人经历收入损失和更高的失业率,但其中一半的损失由社会保障网弥补。我们还发现创业活动和现金持有方面存在小幅正向效应,但对其他劳动力市场、家庭、健康或家庭财务结果没有实质性影响。更换CEO时生产率有所提高,且其收益是工人收入下降的2至6倍。

Abstract

Privatization of state‐owned enterprises is on the agenda across the globe. Using Swedish data covering two decades, we show that productivity gains and headcount reductions are associated with economic costs for incumbent workers. Workers experience income losses and higher unemployment, but half of the losses are covered by the social safety net. We also find small positive effects on entrepreneurship and cash holdings but no meaningful effects on other labor market, family, health, or household finance outcomes. Productivity improves when the CEO is replaced, and the gains outweigh workers' income declines by a factor of between two and six.
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