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最优信息披露下的合谋

Collusion with Optimal Information Disclosure
Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2026 · Takuo Sugaya、Alexander Wolitzky

中文摘要

受近期关于相互竞争企业使用第三方定价算法这一问题的担忧所启发,我们研究了重复伯特兰竞争模型:市场需求或服务市场的成本由一个中介机构(或“算法”)观测,该中介选择性地披露需求或成本信息,以最大化企业的合谋利润。我们证明,上限审查式披露政策是最优的,该政策会导致价格刚性,并在某些状态下产生高于垄断水平的价格。只要提高算法准确性在垄断定价下会降低预期消费者剩余,那么在此情形下同样会降低预期消费者剩余。当状态随时间呈正相关时,若近期需求较低或成本较高,算法会披露更多信息。分析还扩展至一个可容纳产品差异化和产能约束的一般化模型。我们将研究发现与近期的反垄断案件联系起来。

Abstract

Abstract Motivated by recent concerns surrounding the use of third-party pricing algorithms by competing firms, we study repeated Bertrand competition where market demand or the cost of serving the market is observed by an intermediary (or “algorithm”) that selectively discloses demand or cost information to maximize firms’ collusive profit. We show that an upper censorship disclosure policy is optimal, which leads to price rigidity and supra-monopoly prices in some states. Improving the algorithm’s accuracy reduces expected consumer surplus whenever it does so under monopoly pricing. When the state is positively correlated over time, the algorithm discloses more information when recent demand was lower or costs were higher. The analysis extends to a generalized model that accommodates product differentiation and capacity constraints. We relate our findings to recent antitrust cases.
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