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最优信息披露下的合谋

Collusion with Optimal Information Disclosure
Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2026 · [{"name": "Takuo Sugaya", "affiliation": []}, {"name": "Alexander Wolitzky", "affiliation": ["Massachusetts Institute of Technology"]}]

中文摘要

摘要 受近期对竞争企业使用第三方定价算法的担忧所启发,我们研究一种重复伯特兰(Bertrand)竞争:市场需求或服务该市场的成本由一个中介(或"算法")观察,该中介选择性地披露需求或成本信息,以最大化企业的合谋利润。我们证明,上限审查(upper censorship)型披露政策是最优的,它会导致价格刚性,并在某些状态下产生高于垄断水平的价格(超垄断价格)。只要在垄断定价下提高算法准确性会降低预期消费者剩余,那么提高算法准确性就会降低预期消费者剩余。当状态随时间正相关时,若近期需求较低或成本较高,算法会披露更多信息。该分析可推广到一个容纳产品差异化与产能约束的广义模型。我们将上述研究发现与近期的反垄断案件联系起来。

Abstract

Abstract Motivated by recent concerns surrounding the use of third-party pricing algorithms by competing firms, we study repeated Bertrand competition where market demand or the cost of serving the market is observed by an intermediary (or “algorithm”) that selectively discloses demand or cost information to maximize firms’ collusive profit. We show that an upper censorship disclosure policy is optimal, which leads to price rigidity and supra-monopoly prices in some states. Improving the algorithm’s accuracy reduces expected consumer surplus whenever it does so under monopoly pricing. When the state is positively correlated over time, the algorithm discloses more information when recent demand was lower or costs were higher. The analysis extends to a generalized model that accommodates product differentiation and capacity constraints. We relate our findings to recent antitrust cases.
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