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加密货币对网络安全的影响

The Impact of Cryptocurrency on Cybersecurity
Management Science · 2025 · Terrence August、Duy Dao、Kihoon Kim、Marius Florin Niculescu

中文摘要

加密货币促使安全攻击从经典攻击转向基于勒索软件的敲诈勒索。为了更好地理解加密货币对网络安全格局的影响,我们利用一系列存在安全外部性时相互关联的软件使用模型,对采用加密货币之前和之后的网络安全指标进行了比较分析。在这一框架中,我们将异质性消费者和攻击者的行为内生化,攻击者的进入既由未打补丁消费者群体的规模驱动,也由其中作为子集的支付赎金消费者群体的规模驱动。我们首先考察了两种安全情景下用户的采用与打补丁行为。我们探讨了攻击者进入成本的变化如何影响传统威胁格局和加密货币出现后的勒索软件威胁格局下的结果。我们表明,当攻击者进入成本较低时,勒索软件情景可能比传统情景更可取,前提是在勒索软件情景下以标准攻击进入所获得的收益不过高。然而,在这类情景下,社会福利可能在导致更高赎金被索要和更高预期总赎金被支付的相同条件下增加,这给政策制定者带来了一个难题。我们还考察了与传统攻击造成的安全损失以及勒索软件攻击中受害者支付赎金时的残余损失相关联的市场参数的影响。

Abstract

Cryptocurrencies have prompted a shift away from classic security attacks toward ransomware-based extortion. To better understand the impact of cryptocurrencies on the cybersecurity landscape, we conduct a comparative analysis of cybersecurity metrics prior to and after the adoption of cryptocurrency using a series of connected software-use models in the presence of security externalities. In this framework, we endogenize the actions of both heterogeneous consumers and attackers, with entry of the latter being driven by both the size of the unpatched consumer population and, as a subset of it, the size of the ransom-paying consumer population. We first examine users’ adoption and patching behavior under both security scenarios. We explore how changes in attacker entry costs impact outcomes under both conventional and post-crypto ransomware threat landscapes. We show that ransomware scenarios may be more desirable than conventional ones when attacker entry costs are low, provided that the gains from entering with standard attacks under the ransomware scenario are not too high. However, under such scenarios, social welfare can increase under the same conditions that lead to larger ransoms being demanded and a higher expected total ransom being paid, which presents a conundrum to policymakers. We also examine the impact of market parameters associated with security losses from conventional attacks and residual losses when victims pay in ransomware attacks.
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