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数字援助能否在人道主义危机中有效送达?

Can Digital Aid Deliver During Humanitarian Crises?
Management Science · 2025 · Michael Callen、Miguel Fajardo-Steinhäuser、Michael G. Findley、Tarek Ghani

中文摘要

数字支付能否有助于减少极端饥饿?人道主义需求达到1945年以来的最高水平,援助预算却相形见绌,而饥饿正集中在脆弱国家——在这些国家,压制和援助挪用构成重大障碍。在这种背景下,与政府直接合作往往既不可行也不可取,这使得私人数字支付平台成为提供援助的潜在有效手段。我们以实验方法评估了向阿富汗极度贫困的女性户主家庭提供的数字支付,该评估是社区、非营利与私营组织合作的一部分。这些支付显著改善了粮食安全与心理健康状况。尽管受益人的技术素养有限,99.75%的人使用了这些支付,且严格的核查未发现任何挪用证据。在看到我们的结果之前,政策制定者和专家对数字援助持不确定和怀疑态度,这与此前缺乏关于数字支付用于人道主义响应的证据相一致。每交付1美元的成本低于7美分,比世界粮食计划署现金类转移支付的全球数据每1美元低10美分。这些节省可在不增加额外资源的情况下帮助减少饥饿,表明利用数字支付平台的混合型伙伴关系能够在艰难环境中助力应对重大挑战。

Abstract

Can digital payments help reduce extreme hunger? Humanitarian needs are at their highest since 1945, aid budgets are falling behind, and hunger is concentrating in fragile states where repression and aid diversion present major obstacles. In such contexts, partnering directly with governments is often neither feasible nor desirable, making private digital payment platforms a potentially useful means of delivering assistance. We experimentally evaluated digital payments to extremely poor, female-headed households in Afghanistan, as part of a partnership between community, nonprofit, and private organizations. The payments led to substantial improvements in food security and mental well-being. Despite beneficiaries’ limited tech literacy, 99.75% used the payments, and stringent checks revealed no evidence of diversion. Before seeing our results, policymakers and experts are uncertain and skeptical about digital aid, consistent with the lack of prior evidence on digital payments for humanitarian response. Delivery costs are under 7 cents per dollar, which is 10 cents per dollar less than the World Food Programme’s global figure for cash-based transfers. These savings can help reduce hunger without additional resources, demonstrating how hybrid partnerships utilizing digital payment platforms can help address grand challenges in difficult contexts.
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