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抵押贷款市场的集中:政府支持企业的风险敞口与不确定时期的冒险行为

Concentration in Mortgage Markets: Government Sponsored Enterprise Exposure and Risk-Taking in Uncertain Times
Management Science · 2025 · Ronel Elul、Deeksha Gupta、David Musto

中文摘要

当房价面临下跌威胁时,大型抵押贷款投资者可以从培育能够提振需求的新增放贷中获益。我们检验这一收益是否促成了2007年上半年政府支持企业(GSE)对高风险抵押贷款收购的增长。我们发现,它有助于解释这一增长在各地区间的差异,以及各地区房价和信贷的变化。由这一收益所预测的增长,是在私人标签证券化机构退出所导致的收购增长之外的额外增长。我们得出结论:GSE 积极地将收购目标对准以对抗房价下跌。

Abstract

When home prices threaten to decline, large mortgage investors can benefit from fostering new lending that boosts demand. We ask whether this benefit contributed to the growth in acquisitions of risky mortgages by the Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) in the first half of 2007. We find that it helps explain the variation of this growth across regions, as well as regional house price and credit changes. The growth predicted by this benefit is on top of the acquisition growth caused by the exit of private-label securitizers. We conclude that the GSEs actively targeted their acquisitions to counter home-price declines.
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