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马尔可夫选举中的问责

Accountability in Markovian elections
Games and Economic Behavior · 2025 · Duggan, John、Forand, Jean Guillaume

中文摘要

我们在完全信息的动态环境中研究选举问责。作为规范基准,我们取代表性选民如同直接选择政策时所面临的动态规划问题的解。始终存在这样的均衡:与选民政策偏好一致的政治家类型(即契合型政治家)是可问责的,其含义是这些政治家实现了理想化基准。我们证明,对选举问责的挑战源于具有不良规范性质的多重均衡,并在一个动态公共投资模型中给出了新颖政治失灵的例子。我们不允许选民或政治家作出承诺。尽管如此,我们识别出一类互惠均衡,使得选民福利收敛于规范基准,并给出在参与者变得更有耐心时、对于此类均衡的每一选择,非契合型政治家类型渐近可问责的条件。

Abstract

We study electoral accountability in a dynamic environment with complete information. As our normative benchmark, we take the solution of the dynamic programming problem facing the representative voter as if he chose policy directly. There always exist equilibria in which the congruent politician type, whose policy preferences match those of the voter, is accountable, in the sense that these politicians achieve the idealized benchmark. We demonstrate that challenges to electoral accountability stem from multiple equilibria with undesirable normative properties, and we give examples of novel political failures in a model of dynamic public investment. We do not allow the voter or politicians to commit. Nevertheless, we identify a class of reciprocal equilibria such that voter welfare converges to the normative benchmark, and we give conditions under which non-congruent politician types are asymptotically accountable, for every selection of such equilibria as the players become patient.
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