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国际技术扩散下的最优贸易政策

Optimal trade policy with international technology diffusion
Journal of International Economics · 2025 · Bai, Yan、Jin, Keyu、Lu, Dan、Wang, Hanxi

中文摘要

我们在一个通过贸易实现技术扩散的 Eaton–Kortum 模型中研究最优动态贸易政策。贸易通过决定潜在生产者从中汲取洞见的分布来影响技术。我们的理论表明,最优政策捕捉了一国改变全球技术的动态动机。这些政策考虑了影响扩散程度与质量的选择效应和国家禀赋。我们给出了显式公式,表明当更高的外国生产率使本国受益、且出口增加能改善外国学习时,一国应补贴能提高国内学习质量的进口,并降低出口税。我们利用跨国数据量化了这些动态政策及其福利含义。

Abstract

We study optimal dynamic trade policies in an Eaton–Kortum model with technology diffusion through trade. Trade affects technology by determining the distribution from which potential producers draw their insights. Our theory shows that optimal policies capture dynamic motives for a country to alter global technology. These policies take into account selection effects and country endowments that affect the degree and quality of diffusion. We provide explicit formulas showing that a country should subsidize imports that raise domestic learning quality and reduce export taxes when higher foreign productivity benefits the home country and increased exports improve foreign learning. We quantify these dynamic policies and their welfare implications using cross-country data.
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