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货币宽松、杠杆化支付与投资不足

Monetary Easing, Leveraged Payouts, and Lack of Investment
Management Science · 2025 · Viral Acharya、Guillaume Plantin

中文摘要

我们研究这样一个模型:较低货币政策利率降低了公司债务成本,可能刺激生产性投资;然而,低利率也诱使企业加杠杆,以增加对股东的支付。此类杠杆化支付虽为股东带来私人收益,但杠杆会以扭曲其激励为代价造成社会成本,从而降低生产率并抑制投资。若杠杆不受监管(例如因影子银行体系的存在),则最优货币政策力求遏制此类具有社会成本的杠杆化支付,其方式是在不利冲击下刺激投资,但仅刺激至低于最优(first best)的水平。最优货币政策甚至可能包括逆风而行(leaning against the wind),即完全不刺激经济,以充分遏制杠杆化支付并维持生产效率。

Abstract

We study a model in which a low monetary policy rate lowers the cost of corporate debt, potentially spurring productive investment; low interest rates, however, also induce firms to lever up so as to increase payouts to equity. Whereas such leveraged payouts privately benefit shareholders, leverage comes at the social cost of distorting their incentives, thereby lowering productivity and discouraging investment. If leverage is unregulated (for example, because of the presence of a shadow banking system), then the optimal monetary policy seeks to contain such socially costly leveraged payouts by stimulating investment in response to adverse shocks only up to a level below the first best. The optimal monetary policy may even consist of leaning against the wind, that is, not stimulating the economy at all, in order to fully contain leveraged payouts and maintain productive efficiency.
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