← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

区块链报童:新鲜度透明与智能合约的价值

The Blockchain Newsvendor: Value of Freshness Transparency and Smart Contracts
Management Science · 2025 · Nuri Bora Keskin、Chenghuai Li、Jing-Sheng Jeannette Song

中文摘要

受区块链在生鲜农产品行业应用的启发,我们研究这样一个报童问题:零售商面临随机的、依赖新鲜度的消费者需求。零售商可以采用区块链技术,以获得关于供应新鲜度的更透明的信息。我们通过推导区块链采用为零售商带来的期望利润增长与食物浪费减少的闭式表达式,量化区块链赋能的新鲜度透明的价值。利用公开可得的数据,我们给出一个数值例子,说明对于沃尔玛在美国的草莓业务(仅约占沃尔玛生鲜农产品销售额的4%)而言,区块链可通过运营改进使年利润增加6000万美元,同时每年消除2300万磅的食物浪费。尽管区块链能为零售商带来可观价值,其采用却可能降低零售商供应商的期望利润。我们设计了一族以基于区块链的新鲜度共识为条件的门槛型智能合约,并考察此类合约何时能为零售商与供应商带来双赢结果。此外,当零售商提供基于新鲜度的价格折扣时,我们发现供给新鲜度越低,食物浪费越少;相反,当供应商基于新鲜度调整批发价格时,供给新鲜度越低,食物浪费越多。我们还将研究结果推广至以下情形:(i) 双源采购;(ii) 为区块链输入数据的物联网传感器存在带噪测量;(iii) 零售商的剔除流程。

Abstract

Motivated by blockchain applications in the fresh produce industry, we consider a newsvendor problem in which a retailer faces stochastic and freshness-dependent consumer demand. The retailer can adopt blockchain technology to have more transparent information on the freshness of supply. We quantify the value of blockchain-enabled freshness transparency by deriving closed-form expressions for the retailer’s expected profit growth and food waste reduction brought by blockchain adoption. Using publicly available data, we provide a numerical example illustrating that for Walmart’s strawberry business in the United States (which is about only 4% of Walmart’s fresh produce sales), blockchain can increase annual profit by $\$60$ million while eliminating 23 million pounds of food waste annually through operational improvements. Despite this substantial value for the retailer, blockchain adoption can decrease the expected profit of the retailer’s supplier. We design a family of threshold-type smart contracts contingent on a blockchain-based freshness consensus and examine when such contracts offer a win-win proposition to the retailer and the supplier. Moreover, when the retailer offers freshness-based price discounts, we find that less fresh supply leads to less food waste. In contrast, when the supplier adjusts the wholesale price based on freshness, less fresh supply causes more food waste. We also generalize our findings to the cases of (i) dual sourcing, (ii) noisy measurements in the Internet of Things sensors feeding data into blockchain, and (iii) the retailer’s culling processes.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →