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劳动替代型自动化与金融

Labor-Replacing Automation and Finance
Management Science · 2025 · Cheng Xin、Evgeny Lyandres、Kaiguo Zhou、Tong Zhou

中文摘要

我们考察采用劳动替代型自动化技术对企业融资的影响。在实证上,以中国企业层面的工业机器人部署面板数据作为此类自动化的一个例子,我们发现机器人采用提高了杠杆率并降低了债务成本。我们假设其深层原因在于,作为劳动的替代,自动化提供了对劳动成本波动的对冲。基于这一对冲论点的模型给出了关于自动化与企业融资之间关系决定因素的额外可检验预测。这些关系在数据中得到印证,为所提出的机制提供了支持。我们的证据与解释所观测关系的替代性渠道不一致。

Abstract

We examine the effects of adoption of labor-replacing automation technology on corporate financing. Empirically, using Chinese firm-level panel data on deployment of industrial robots as an example of such automation, we find that robot adoption increases leverage and reduces cost of debt. We hypothesize that the underlying reason is that being a substitute for labor, automation provides a hedge against fluctuations in labor costs. A model based on this hedging argument delivers additional testable predictions concerning determinants of the relation between automation and corporate financing. These relations are borne out in the data, providing support for the proposed mechanism. Our evidence is inconsistent with alternative channels behind the observed relations.
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