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顾客成批到达时如何配置人员

How to Staff When Customers Arrive in Batches
Management Science · 2025 · Andrew Daw、Robert Cornelius Hampshire、Jamol J. Pender

中文摘要

在许多不同场景中, 服务请求可能彼此近乎同时或完全同时到达, 这在底层排队系统中形成了成批到达。本文研究批到达排队系统的人员配置问题。我们证明, 成批到达给服务带来危险且具有欺骗性的压力: 其既需要大量资源, 又在需求上表现出本质性更大的尾部。这揭示了一种服务状态, 在该状态下, 具有大批量到达的系统可能利用率较低, 但仍会出现不可忽略的等待。在方法论上, 这些人员配置结果源于多服务台排队模型新颖的大批量极限和大批量-大速率极限。在大批量极限中, 我们建立了一般多服务台排队系统与另一类随机模型——存储过程——之间的首个正式联系。由此, 我们证明批量缩放的队列长度过程并非渐近正态, 而且事实上, 流体型极限与扩散型极限彼此重合。因此, 该系统的 (安全) 人员配置必须与批量大小成正比, 才能获得非退化的等待概率。为展示这一大批量状态的存在性及其洞见, 我们将结果应用于纽约市新冠肺炎接触者追踪数据。由此, 我们识别出追踪机构人员配置水平高于国家建议所产生的显著收益, 并证明通过优化公共卫生数据管道中的到达模式, 本可能存在进一步改进运营的机会。

Abstract

In many different settings, requests for service can arrive in near or true simultaneity with one another. This creates batches of arrivals to the underlying queueing system. In this paper, we study the staffing problem for the batch arrival queue. We show that batches place a dangerous and deceptive stress on services, requiring a high amount of resources and exhibiting a fundamentally larger tail in those demands. This uncovers a service regime in which a system with large batch arrivals may have low utilization but will still have nontrivial waiting. Methodologically, these staffing results follow from novel large batch and large batch-and-rate limits of the multiserver queueing model. In the large batch limit, we establish the first formal connection between general multiserver queues and storage processes, another family of stochastic models. By consequence, we show that the batch scaled queue length process is not asymptotically normal and that, in fact, the fluid- and diffusion-type limits coincide. Hence, the (safety) staffing of this system must be directly proportional to the batch size just to achieve a nondegenerate probability of wait. In exhibition of the existence and insights of this large batch regime, we apply our results to data on Covid-19 contact tracing in New York City. In doing so, we identify significant benefits produced by the tracing agency’s decision to staff above national recommendations, and we also demonstrate that there may have been an opportunity to further improve the operation by optimizing the arrival pattern in the public health data pipeline.
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