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让看不见的手可见: 管理者与工人配置到岗位

Making the Invisible Hand Visible: Managers and the Allocation of Workers to Jobs
Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2026 · Virginia Minni

中文摘要

管理者为何对企业绩效至关重要?本文利用一家大型跨国公司的全部人事记录,为管理者在企业内部将员工匹配到岗位这一环节所发挥的关键作用提供了证据。数据覆盖100个国家、11年间的20万名白领员工和3万名管理者。我依据管理者的晋升速度识别优秀管理者,并利用管理者在团队之间轮换所引致的外生变异进行识别。我发现,优秀管理者促使员工通过横向和纵向调动在企业内部实现重新配置,并为员工的职业发展与生产率带来大幅且持续的提升。研究结果表明,管理者这只“看得见的手”将员工的特定技能匹配到专业化岗位,从而提升现有员工的生产率,且这种提升在管理者离开企业之后依然持续。

Abstract

Abstract Why do managers matter for firm performance? This article provides evidence of the critical role of managers in matching workers to jobs within the firm using the universe of personnel records from a large multinational firm. The data cover 200,000 white-collar workers and 30,000 managers over 11 years in 100 countries. I identify good managers by their speed of promotion and leverage exogenous variation induced by the rotation of managers across teams. I find that good managers cause workers to reallocate within the firm through lateral and vertical transfers and generate large and persistent gains in workers’ career progression and productivity. My results imply that the visible hands of managers match workers’ specific skills to specialized jobs, leading to an improvement in the productivity of existing workers that outlasts the managers’ time at the firm.

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