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在线商业模式、数字广告与用户福利

Online Business Models, Digital Ads, and User Welfare
Journal of Political Economy · 2026 · Daron Acemoglu、Daniel Huttenlocher、Asuman Ozdaglar、James Siderius

中文摘要

本文研究在线平台的商业模式,其中数字广告既具有信息性,又可能具有操纵性。精明的用户能正确解读广告信号,而天真用户则会高估广告的信息含量。我们刻画了平台利润最大化的商业模式,并表明广告往往会降低两类用户的福利。天真用户被过度暴露于广告,并对产品质量过于乐观。由此产生的需求上升也会推高精明用户面临的均衡价格。允许平台提供多种方案,可能通过区隔天真用户与精明用户而加剧上述福利损失。在企业层面和平台层面存在竞争的情形下,类似结果同样成立,因为数字广告会弱化竞争。最后,我们说明固定税率的数字广告税如何能够改善福利。

Abstract

We study online platform business models where digital advertising is both informative and potentially manipulative. Sophisticated users correctly interpret ad signals, while naive users overestimate their informativeness. We characterize the platform’s profit-maximizing business model and show that advertising tends to reduce welfare for both groups. Naive users are overexposed to advertising and become too optimistic about product quality. The resulting increase in demand raises equilibrium prices for sophisticated users as well. Allowing the platform to offer multiple plans can intensify these welfare losses by separating naïfs and sophisticates. Similar results apply in the presence of firm-level and platform-level competition, because digital advertising softens competition. We conclude by showing how flat digital ad taxes can be welfare-improving.
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