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从住房自有情况推断官员的非正式收入

Inferring the Unofficial Incomes of Officials from Home Ownership
Management Science · 2025 · Yongheng Deng、Shang-Jin Wei

中文摘要

我们通过评估解释其观测到的购房行为所需收入与正式收入之间的差额,来估计政府官员家庭可能的非正式收入规模。利用中国某大城市 2006 年至 2013 年间独特而全面的住房公积金与购房数据,我们得出三点结论。第一,官员的平均非正式收入相当于其正式收入的 83%;这一比例随官员职级上升而急剧提高。第二,约 13% 的官员拥有非正式收入,该比例同样随职级上升而提高。第三,政府官员并未被低薪对待,其非正式收入并非对低政府工资的补偿。此外,有证据表明,自近期反腐败运动以来,非正式收入有所下降。对另一套跨城市数据集的分析印证了核心结论。

Abstract

We estimate the size of the likely unofficial income of the government official household by assessing the difference between the income necessary to explain their observed home purchase behavior and the official income. Using unique and comprehensive House Provident Fund and home purchases data between 2006 and 2013 in a large Chinese city, we reach three conclusions. First, an average official’s unofficial income is 83% of her official income; this percentage increases sharply with the official’s rank. Second, about 13% of the officials have an unofficial income, and the proportion also increases with rank. Third, government officials are not underpaid, and their unofficial incomes are not compensation for low government salaries. Additionally, evidence suggests that unofficial incomes have declined since the recent anticorruption campaign. An analysis of a separate crosscity data set corroborates the key conclusion.
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