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用于因果政策分析的计量模型

The Econometric Model for Causal Policy Analysis
Annual Review of Economics · 2022 · James J. Heckman、Rodrigo Pinto

中文摘要

本文讨论了因果政策分析的计量经济学模型,以及在统计学和计算机科学中流行的两种替代框架。由于不加批判地采用这些替代框架,经济学家忽略了计量经济学方法的显著优势,导致对经济政策的分析缺乏信息量。我们表明,与替代方法相比,计量经济学的因果分析方法使经济学家能够刻画和分析范围更广的政策问题。

Abstract

This paper discusses the econometric model of causal policy analysis and two alternative frameworks that are popular in statistics and computer science. By employing the alternative frameworks uncritically, economists ignore the substantial advantages of an econometric approach, resulting in less informative analyses of economic policy. We show that the econometric approach to causality enables economists to characterize and analyze a wider range of policy problems than alternative approaches.
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