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放松内部迁移限制的本地劳动力市场效应:来自中国的证据

The Local Labor Market Effect of Relaxing Internal Migration Restrictions: Evidence from China
Journal of Labor Economics · 2024 · Lei An、Yu Qin、Jing Wu、Wei You

中文摘要

我们研究内部迁移限制的大幅放松如何影响在位迁移者与本地居民的劳动力市场结果,利用的是中国 2014 年的户籍改革——该改革大幅取消了城镇人口低于 500 万的城市(非超大城市)的迁移壁垒。采用双重差分方法,我们发现政策实施后,非超大城市的迁移者工资相对于超大城市下降了约 2.6%–7.9%。该政策对非超大城市本地居民工资的影响为非负。这些结果表明,新迁入者带来的工资下行压力主要落在在位迁移者而非本地居民身上。

Abstract

We study how a significant relaxation of internal migration restrictions affects labor market outcomes of incumbent migrants and natives, exploiting the 2014 hukou reform in China, which substantially removed the migration barriers of cities with an urban population below 5 million (nonmegacities). Using a difference-in-differences method, we find that migrants’ wages in nonmegacities experienced approximately a 2.6%–7.9% decline relative to that in megacities after the policy. The policy had nonnegative impacts on the wages of natives in nonmegacities. These results suggest that the downward wage pressure imposed by new migrants falls primarily on incumbent migrants rather than on natives.
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