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凝聚性制度与政治暴力

Cohesive Institutions and Political Violence
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2024 · Thiemo Fetzer、Stephan Kyburz

中文摘要

资源租金的收入分享会成为分配性冲突的根源吗?凝聚性制度能否避免此类冲突?我们利用尼日利亚地方政府收入的外生变动以及地方民主制度的新数据来研究这些问题。我们发现租金与冲突之间存在紧密联系。冲突的组织化程度很高,且集中于地方政府未经选举产生的地区和时期。一旦地方政府经由选举产生,这些关系便弱得多。我们认为,选举产生了更具凝聚性的制度,有助于限制群体之间的分配性冲突。在全文中,我们利用个体层面的调查数据证实了这些发现。

Abstract

Can revenue sharing of resource rents be a source of distributive conflict? Can cohesive institutions avoid such conflicts? We exploit exogenous variation in local government revenues and new data on local democratic institutions in Nigeria to study these questions. We find a strong link between rents and conflict. Conflicts are highly organized and concentrated in districts and time periods with unelected local governments. Once local governments are elected these relationships are much weaker. We argue that elections produce more cohesive institutions that help limit distributional conflict between groups. Throughout, we confirm these findings using individual level survey data.
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