← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

美国的国内人口迁移:1850—1940年的迁移率、选择性与目的地选择

Internal Migration in the United States: Rates, Selection, and Destination Choice, 1850–1940
The Journal of Economic History · 2024 · Ariell Zimran

中文摘要

我研究了1850—1940年间美国本土出生白人男性在所有可能的10年期与20年期内的国内迁移。在采用一种新方法校正记录链接误差之后,县际迁移率随时间保持稳定。基于职业地位的移民选择性为中性或略为负面,且大体保持稳定。但国内迁移的方向随时间发生了变化:迁移距离缩短,并日益推动城市化。20世纪30年代,迁移变得不那么普遍,城市导向也有所减弱。这些结果比以往更清晰地呈现了美国历史上的国内迁移。

Abstract

I study native-born white men’s internal migration in the United States over all possible 10- and 20-year periods between 1850 and 1940. Inter-county migration rates—after implementing a new method to correct for errors in linkage—were stable over time. Migrant selection on the basis of occupational status was neutral or slightly negative and also largely stable. But the orientation of internal migration changed over time, declining in distance and increasingly driving urbanization. In the 1930s, migration became less common and less urban oriented. These results provide a clearer understanding of historic U.S. internal migration than previously possible.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →