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大萧条作为储蓄过剩

The Great Depression as a Savings Glut
The Journal of Economic History · 2024 · Victor Degorce、Éric Monnet

中文摘要

涵盖23个国家的新数据显示,大萧条时期的银行业危机与储蓄机构和寿险存款在国际范围内的急剧增加同时发生。存款从商业银行流向其他形式的储蓄。这加剧了信贷紧缩,因为其他机构并未替代银行放贷。在资产价格下跌的同时,储蓄机构和寿险公司持有的储蓄占GDP的比重以及实际值均有所上升。这些发现为20世纪30年代信贷和总需求的下降提供了新的解释。它们表明,在研究银行业危机时需要考虑非银行金融机构。

Abstract

New data covering 23 countries reveal that banking crises of the Great Depression coincided with a sharp international increase in deposits at savings institutions and life insurance. Deposits fled from commercial banks to alternative forms of savings. This fueled a credit crunch since other institutions did not replace bank lending. While asset prices fell, savings held in savings institutions and life insurance companies increased as a share of GDP and in real terms. These findings provide new explanations for the fall in credit and aggregate demand in the 1930s. They illustrate the need to consider nonbank financial institutions when studying banking crises.
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