← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

细分经济账户

Disaggregated Economic Accounts
Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2026 · Asger Lau Andersen、Kilian Huber、Niels Johannesen、Ludwig Straub、Emil Toft Vestergaard

中文摘要

我们构建了一套分解的经济账户体系。该体系将国民账户项目分解为定义一致的消费者群体(消费者单元)、生产者群体(生产者单元)、政府以及世界其他地区之间的双边流量。我们在满足所有国民账户恒等式的前提下,对完整的货币循环流进行分解,涵盖消费者支出、劳动报酬、企业利润、中间品贸易、对外贸易和政府交易。我们将该分解体系应用于丹麦的小型区域—行业单元,并呈现若干典型事实,例如国内支出的差异、消费者支出中的本地偏向与城市偏向,以及跨地区的三角流量模式。单元层面的支出强度指标刻画了某一单元的支出在多大程度上贡献于冲击后遭遇失业的单元的收入。借助一般均衡模型,我们表明,当财政转移支付针对那些对失业单元支出强度较高的单元时,其提高总体 GDP 的幅度更大。分解的经济账户有助于政府选择更有效的政策。

Abstract

Abstract We develop a system of disaggregated economic accounts. The system breaks down national accounting positions into bilateral flows between consistently defined groups of consumers (consumer cells), groups of producers (producer cells), the government, and the rest of the world. We disaggregate the full circular flow of money, including consumer spending, labor compensation, firm profits, intermediates trade, foreign trade, and government transactions, while satisfying all national accounting identities. We implement the disaggregated system for small region-by-industry cells in Denmark and present stylized facts, such as variation in domestic spending, local and urban bias in consumer spending, and a pattern of triangular flows across regions. Cell-level measures of spending intensity capture how much spending by a cell contributes to the income of cells experiencing unemployment after a shock. Using a general equilibrium model, we show that fiscal transfers raise aggregate GDP by more when they target cells with high spending intensity on unemployed cells. The disaggregated economic accounts help governments select more effective policies.

📖 解析

本文已有三模型交叉精读卡片, 登录后可在站内查看结构化解读与关键图表。
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →