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混战一场:拥挤之所以影响治疗结果,是否因为医院急诊科未能有效分诊?

Free-for-all: Does crowding impact outcomes because hospital emergency departments do not prioritise effectively?
Journal of Health Economics · 2024 · Francetic, Igor、Meacock, Rachel、Sutton, Matt

中文摘要

已有研究发现,医院急诊科(ED)就诊量的意外高峰会影响等待时间、诊疗强度和治疗结果。我们追问:急诊科拥挤对患者产生的这些影响,究竟源于临床分诊不当,还是源于具有约束力的产能约束所导致的质量—数量权衡。我们研究严重程度较低的患者所造成的拥挤对严重程度较高患者结局的影响,样本为2016年4月至2017年3月间在英格兰140家公立急诊科就诊的约1300万名严重程度较高的患者。我们的识别策略依赖高维固定效应来控制计划产能。来自低严重程度患者的意外需求,对高严重程度患者在急诊科整个就诊路径中所接受的诊疗影响极为有限。低严重程度患者造成的拥挤,仅在意外需求达到极高水平时才显现出不利影响,这表明只有当需求大大超出急诊科的预期时,具有约束力的资源约束才会影响患者诊疗。这些影响小于高严重程度患者引发的拥挤所造成的影响,表明急诊科对前来就诊的患者进行了有效的优先排序。

Abstract

Unexpected peaks in volumes of attendances at hospital emergency departments (EDs) have been found to affect waiting times, intensity of care and outcomes. We ask whether these effects of ED crowding on patients are caused by poor clinical prioritisation or a quality-quantity trade-off generated by a binding capacity constraint. We study the effects of crowding created by lower-severity patients on the outcomes of approximately 13 million higher-severity patients attending the 140 public EDs in England between April 2016 and March 2017. Our identification approach relies on high-dimensional fixed effects to account for planned capacity. Unexpected demand from low-severity patients has very limited effects on the care provided to higher-severity patients throughout their entire pathway in ED. Detrimental effects of crowding caused by low-severity patients materialise only at very high levels of unexpected demand, suggesting that binding resource constraints impact patient care only when demand greatly exceeds the ED's expectations. These effects are smaller than those caused by crowding induced by higher-severity patients, suggesting an efficient prioritisation of incoming patients in EDs.
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